CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2021-11-24T14:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2021-11-24T14:09ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18362/-1
CME Note: Visible in the SW in STEREO A COR2 and in the S in SOHO LASCO C2. Associated with an eruption near S30E20. Dimming and post-eruptive arcades visible in SDO AIA 171/193/304 and EUVIA 195/304 beginning 2021-11-24T13:00Z. CME arrival marked by a sudden increase in B total, which reached 17 nT. Density and temperature also increased during the shock and pileup. The solar wind increased from 300 km/s to 380 km/s during the shock.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-11-27T21:50Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-11-28T01:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note: Lead Time: 58.63 hour(s)
Difference: -3.17 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Robert Loper (M2M Office) on 2021-11-25T11:12Z
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